Development of empirical models of malaria seasonality for Africa
Seasonality affects the dynamic relationship between vector mosquito densities, inoculation rate, parasite prevalence and disease outcome. Quantitative description and mapping of malaria seasonality is therefore important for modelling malaria transmission dynamics. The aim of this work is to develop disease and transmission based seasonality models using clinical and entomological indices, respectively.
Progress includes development of a seasonality model through cooperation with the ecology and epidemiology group at Oxford University and the STI modelling team.